Efficient stochastic analysis of unsaturated slopes subjected to various rainfall intensities and patterns     

《地学前缘(英文版)》2023,14(1):101490

Rainfall infiltration poses a disastrous threat to the slope stability in many regions around the world. This paper proposes an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)-based stochastic analysis framework to estimate the rainfall-induced slope failure probability. An unsaturated slope under rainfall infiltration in spatially varying soils is selected in this study to investigate the influences of the spatial variability of soil properties (including effective cohesion c′, effective friction angle φ′ and saturated hydraulic conductivity k_s), as well as rainfall intensity and rainfall pattern on the slope failure probability. Results show that the proposed framework in this study is capable of computing the failure probability with accuracy and high efficiency. The spatial variability of k_s cannot be overlooked in the reliability analysis. Otherwise, the rainfall-induced slope failure probability will be underestimated. It is found that the rainfall intensity and rainfall pattern have significant effect on the probability of failure. Moreover, the failure probabilities under various rainfall intensities and patterns can be easily obtained with the aid of the proposed framework, which can provide timely guidance for the landslide emergency management departments.  相似文献   

Centrifuge modelling of landslides and landslide hazard mitigation: A review     

《地学前缘(英文版)》2023,14(1):101493

Landslides are serious geohazards that occur under a variety of climatic conditions and can cause many casualties and significant economic losses. Centrifuge modelling, as a representative type of physical modelling, provides a realistic simulation of the stress level in a small-scale model and has been applied over the last 50 years to develop a better understanding of landslides. With recent developments in this technology, the application of centrifuge modelling in landslide science has significantly increased. Here, we present an overview of physical models that can capture landslide processes during centrifuge modelling. This review focuses on (i) the experimental principles and considerations, (ii) landslide models subjected to various triggering factors, including centrifugal acceleration, rainfall, earthquakes, water level changes, thawing permafrost, excavation, external loading and miscellaneous conditions, and (iii) different methods for mitigating landslides modelled in centrifuge, such as the application of nails, piles, geotextiles, vegetation, etc. The behaviors of all the centrifuge models are discussed, with emphasis on the deformation and failure mechanisms and experimental techniques. Based on this review, we provide a best-practice methodology for preparing a centrifuge landslide test and propose further efforts in terms of the seven aspects of model materials, testing design and equipment, measurement methods, scaling laws, full-scale test applications, landslide early warning, and 3D modelling to better understand the complex behaviour of landslides.  相似文献   

渤海湾周缘高温地热异常特征及深部热结构分析     

张健  何雨蓓  姜程浩  褚伟  方桂 《地球学报》2023,44(1):57-69

渤海湾周缘高温地热异常区是华北重要的地热资源区,研究其浅层高温地热异常及深层高温地热结构,是解决中国东部高温地热勘查开发瓶颈的重要基础,对加快构建东部现代能源体系、推进“双碳”目标进程具有重要的科学意义。利用最新的中国大陆岩石圈速度模型USTClitho2.0和航磁资料,在大地热流资料约束下,本文计算了渤海湾周缘浅层与深层高温热结构,结果表明:该区居里面平均深度20.8km,居里温度420℃,中、上地壳高温热结构与居里面起伏形态密切相关。上地壳生热率随深度增大而递减,反映了放射性生热元素向上迁移、在浅层富集的垂向分异特征。Moho面温度在600～800℃之间,岩石圈底界面1300℃等温面深度在66.3～97.5 km之间,平均值为76.8 km。依据USTClitho2.0模型Vp、Vs速度结构,本文修正了前人的地壳分层结构及上地壳生热率,计算了研究区内全部91个大地热流点的壳幔热流比,结果表明:Qc/Q=56.4%、Qm/Q=43.6%, Qc/Q>Qm/Q,显示该区为“热壳”结构。前人认为此区是“冷壳热幔”型热结构,本文的计算结果修正了前人的认识,指出上地壳层热流在地表总热流...  相似文献   

鄂尔多斯盆地中南部上古生界层序与岩相古地理演化^*          下载免费PDF全文

李克永  杨文鹏  徐帅康  李文厚 《古地理学报》2023,25(1):75-92

为明确鄂尔多斯盆地中南部上古生界层序特点与岩相古地理演化规律,利用周缘野外露头和盆地钻井测井相特征,分析层序界面、体系域界面的岩性、古构造及海侵方向变化特征,总结层序发育特点与岩相古地理演化规律。结果表明: 不同风化序列的区域性不整合面及海侵方向转换面为二级层序界面,区域性海退面、下切冲刷面及陆上暴露面为三级层序界面; 潮间带砂坪及近岸相海侵含砾砂岩顶为海侵面,最大海侵面发育灰岩、泥页岩及煤层,是海侵体系域与高位体系域分界面; 上古生界包括二级层序2个: MSQ1、MSQ2,三级层序6个: SQ1、SQ2、SQ3、SQ4、SQ5、SQ6,其中SQ1—SQ2发育水进体系域与高位体系域,不发育低位体系域,SQ1为潟湖—障壁海岸沉积体系,SQ2为泥炭坪—泥坪相潮坪沉积;SQ3—SQ6发育完整的低位—海侵—高位体系域,SQ3发育区域性海退进积海陆过渡相三角洲沉积,SQ4早期为低位体系域下切冲蚀砂体,晚期沉积古环境由温暖湿润还原环境演变为炎热干燥的氧化环境,SQ5—SQ6早中期为氧化环境三角洲沉积,SQ6晚期为高位体系域具海侵夹层的潮坪相沉积。研究为鄂尔多斯盆地及其他盆地层序与岩相古地理演化提供理论依据。  相似文献   

基于区域多次回波点密度分析的城区LiDAR建筑物提取     

李乐林  江万寿  郭程方 《国土资源遥感》2015,(2):29-35

以正确提取城区Li DAR点云中建筑物为目标,综合利用不同类别目标点云的回波特征以及地形信息,提出了一种基于区域多次回波密度分析的Li DAR点云建筑物提取方法。首先,将点云构建不规则三角网(triangulated irregular network,TIN),获取封闭的等高线;然后,利用等高线间的拓扑关系得到等高线族区域;最后,统计每一区域的多次回波点云密度信息,通过建筑物和树木区域多次回波点云在区域密度上的巨大差异来识别建筑物点云和树木点云。研究结果表明:该方法既充分利用了建筑物表面与植被间多次回波特性的差异,又不否定建筑物边缘同样存在多次回波的现象;通过封闭的等高线自适应地检测出地物目标的轮廓,弥补了传统Li DAR建筑物提取方法的不足;该方法能够较其他方法更准确地提取建筑物。  相似文献   

南海东北陆缘的地壳速度结构及其构造意义: 来自广角地震剖面的约束     

赵俐红  刘欣悦  支鹏遥  刘晨光  李官保  郑彦鹏  贺恩远  王星月 《地质学报》2023,97(6):1766-1779

南海东北部深部地壳结构蕴含着南海陆缘伸展张裂过程的重要信息。在南海东北陆缘布设的一条广角地震测线(DP13)沿NW-SE方向依次穿过东沙隆起和台西南盆地。本文利用射线追踪和正演走时拟合软件RayInvr构建地壳纵波速度结构,模型表明：沉积层速度1.6～4.6 km/s,厚度0.5～3.8 km,横向分布不均匀,沉积基底起伏剧烈;莫霍面埋藏深度由陆架区的25.5 km急剧减小到陆坡下方的13 km,随后向下陆坡远端增深至16 km;陆架处东沙隆起下方地壳厚度从～25 km减薄到～21 km,下陆坡远端地壳厚约10～13 km,地壳拉张因子分别为1.3～1.5和2.6～3.1,表现为轻微和中等减薄;陆坡区台西南盆地内地壳厚度从17 km急剧减薄至7～8 km,地壳拉张因子高达4.6,呈超伸展减薄;地壳厚度由陆向海非单调减薄,地壳伸展具有明显的空间差异性;陆架-上陆坡和下陆坡下地壳底部发现两个相对孤立的不连续高速体,速度分别为7.0～7.5 km/s和7.0～7.3 km/s,厚度分别3～5 km和1～3 km,前者位于古太平洋俯冲带前缘,几乎与南海东北部高磁异常重叠,推测由中生代古太平洋板...  相似文献   

基于坐标转换的高铁平面精测网复测稳定性分析方法探讨     

杨雪峰  刘成龙  何勇 《测绘与空间地理信息》2021,44(4):35-37,40

首先介绍了现有各级平面精测网复测稳定性分析的常规方法,然后结合GRP网中判别CPⅢ点稳定性的方法,尝试使用三参数坐标转换进行高铁平面精测网复测稳定性分析,最后以某高铁CPI控制网实测数据为例进行分析。结果表明,不能完全使用三参数坐标转换代替常规方法进行精测网的稳定性分析,但可在使用坐标转换后的点位残差进行稳定性评价时,结合常规法进行综合分析,可提高常规法分析判别效率。  相似文献   

宁镇扬地区不透水面增长变化监测及其增长模式分析     

石晓峰  熊克俊  卢刚  邱倩倩 《测绘通报》2021,(2):136-139

不透水面是衡量城市化进程的重要指标,本文以宁镇扬地区为例,引入不透水面变化轨迹、增长模式等方法,定量剖析不透水面时空演变过程。结果表明,研究时段内,在城市化进程的推动下不透水面持续扩张,研究区2015-2019年有301 km²的自然或半自然景观最终转化为不透水景观,年均增长率为0.44%;不透水面格局变化在2017年前后具有明显差异,前期增长以镇江市为主,后期镇江市增长幅度大大减缓,而南京增长速度大幅提升;不透水面转变轨迹以一次性转变为主,且2017年后土地变化更加剧烈,反复或连续轨迹较少,植被是城市用地扩张的主要土地来源;研究区不透水面增长主导模式为蔓延式,当前城市边界仍然处在快速向外扩张阶段,城市规划管控对城市边界的发展具有重要的引导意义。  相似文献   

基于计算机视觉的相机标定方法     

景国峰 《北京测绘》2021,35(1):122-125

随着航空摄影测量及倾斜摄影技术的不断推广,其相机传感器受内在及外在因素的影响,使得相机畸变参数的准确性并不是稳定如一,因而极大限制了数据处理的效率。针对这一问题,本文以解决相机畸变参数的准确性作为出发点,从相机成像原理出发,分析相机成像中的误差,介绍相机标定的方法,对相机标定进行实验分析,以达到准确标定相机参数的目的,并将计算的畸变参数应用于实际项目的空中三角测量。试验结果表明,获取的畸变参数可提高空三的效率及稳定性。  相似文献   

An adaptive finite element model for wellbore breakout simulation     

Diogo L. Cecílio  Philippe R. B. Devloo  Sônia M. Gomes  Erick S.R. Santos 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2019,43(4):814-828

A finite element formulation is proposed and implemented for analysing the stability of excavated wells using the DiMaggio-Sandler constitutive elastoplastic model with a typical carbonate reservoir configuration. The quality of the finite element approximation is ensured by applying smooth curved elements adapted to the wellbore geometry, and h − p adaptive finite element meshes in the plastic zone. General purpose procedures are defined to transfer the elastoplastic deformation history to newly created integration points. A breakout damage criterion is proposed based on the second invariant of the deviatoric plastic deformation tensor. This damage criterion is used to apply a mesh movement algorithm to represent material collapse. The automatic successive application of the breakout damage criterion results in elliptical realistically looking geometries obtained in experiments reported in the literature.  相似文献